Many business decisions hinge on fact-based predictions of the future, and careers are made or broken by the outcomes. No wonder, then, that companies value “expertise” at all levels – after all, more ...

The investors and money managers who read Institutional Investor may be familiar with Philip Tetlock, a University of Pennsylvania professor of psychology and management. His new book, ...

So, you're watching a cable news or finance show. Adviser to the mighty and bestselling author Harvey Hornblower intones, "You may think the collapse of the People's Bank of East Exterria is a local ...